Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 20.173474 22.772423 25.519895 28.634828 32.062223 35.712274 39.887218
2024-12-22 16.067300 19.568108 23.500424 28.222251 33.714399 39.876743 47.288657
2024-12-29 13.877111 18.095961 23.097359 29.410845 37.110452 46.135175 57.447733
2025-01-05 11.700227 16.296591 22.032923 29.620854 39.286054 51.070182 66.394520
2025-01-12 9.488310 14.117008 20.195113 28.608946 39.780685 53.915973 72.934885
2025-01-19 7.700957 12.225671 18.468349 27.493280 39.953218 56.268676 78.915203
2025-01-26 6.974538 11.702652 18.503945 28.697427 43.227518 62.788674 90.624591
2025-02-02 6.708427 11.808562 19.412261 31.161318 48.361955 72.055520 106.466769
2025-02-09 6.192200 11.449438 19.578006 32.529104 51.999489 79.432068 120.075419
2025-02-16 5.486394 10.682517 19.026973 32.747705 53.939234 84.483405 130.646479
2025-02-23 4.728353 9.716444 18.046617 32.191049 54.639170 87.737258 138.755997
2025-03-02 4.123481 8.928505 17.260497 31.845762 55.591548 91.349312 147.479033
2025-03-09 3.702607 8.434359 16.941064 32.268933 57.828534 97.080763 159.739858
2025-03-16 3.235211 7.780344 16.269977 32.036543 58.987368 101.218393 169.796945
2025-03-23 3.057711 7.680642 16.582131 33.511244 63.013388 109.967899 187.226790
2025-03-30 2.753605 7.269471 16.269344 33.847600 65.145044 115.820079 200.412904
2025-04-06 2.330592 6.527247 15.236368 32.781271 64.799448 117.667872 207.378580
2025-04-13 1.954653 5.821043 14.185283 31.572284 64.097115 118.859641 213.299393
2025-04-20 1.862422 5.777738 14.482972 32.952556 68.059224 127.913061 232.203789
2025-04-27 1.894536 6.049784 15.467969 35.737193 74.694051 141.688304 259.252366
2025-05-04 1.818242 6.030747 15.821292 37.284607 79.129638 151.892228 280.742756
2025-05-11 1.650484 5.740521 15.546935 37.538854 81.168628 158.062472 295.732026
2025-05-18 1.442154 5.298260 14.878172 36.920602 81.513724 161.292496 305.876615